Columbia University in the City of New YorkThe John D. and Catherine T. MacArthur Foundation

10% slope change total mortality

20% slope change total mortality

30% slope change total mortality

40% slope change total mortality

40% slope change intrinsic mortality'

30% slope change intrinsic mortality

20% slope change intrinsic mortality

10% slope change, intrinsic mortality

Data (Slope)

SSA 2008 trustee report forecast (middle range)
Year 2000 Year 2030 Year 2050
Total population 288,284,000 370,973,000 410,674,000
Population 65+ 35,474,000 70,437,000 80,845,000
Population 85+ N/A N/A N/A
Population 100+ N/A N/A N/A
Dependency ratios: 100x(dependent ages)/(ages 20-64)
(0-19)+(65+) 0.69 0.80 0.82
(0-19) 0.49 0.45 0.44
(65+) 0.21 0.35 0.38
Life expectancy at birth
Male 74.0 78.0 80.0
Female 79.4 81.8 83.4
Life expectancy at age 20
Male N/A N/A N/A
Female N/A N/A N/A
Life expectancy at age 65
Male 15.9 18.2 19.3
Female 19.0 20.3 21.4
Life expectancy at age 85
Male N/A N/A N/A
Female N/A N/A N/A
Data sources:
SSA 2008 Trustee Report
Single-Year Tables Consistent with 2008 OASDI Trustees Report
The MacArthur Research Network on an Aging is funded by The John D. and Catherine T. MacArthur Foundation
© 2008 John D. and Catherine T. MacArthur Foundation. All Rights Reserved.
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